The Timberwolves are coming off a humiliating 149-107 defeat to the 76ers in Philadelphia. The 76ers were led by a motivated Jimmy Butler who forced a trade out of Minnesota after a tumultuous start to the season. This included the now infamous practice where berated all of his Timberwolves teammates in front of the media the coaches and gm. Joel Embiid followed up the game with a petty Instagram post taking a a shot at the Timberwolves. All in all it was a terrible night for the Timberwolves. Despite the huge score differential I will not be putting too much stock into that game. It was a regular season NBA game that the 76ers had playoff motivation for. The Timberwolves did not match their intensity and were blown out. Now they have had 3 days to reflect on that game before welcoming the Spurs tonight at home. In the first 3 matchups between these teams the home team has won each game. The two main factors in each of those games has been 3 pointers made. Both of these teams play better and shoot better at home than on the road. I like the Timberwolves at home to cover the spread. The Spurs will not come with the same type of intensity that the 76ers had and the Timberwolves will be out to prove that they are not a soft team.
I feel like putting the Spurs as slight underdogs is the bookmaker’s way of getting the public side to be the Spurs who are a well known team publicly. They have built a large fanbase by winning numerous championships throughout the years and being in the playoffs every year. Also since it is Friday night traditionally more people place bets. The betting lines will be skewed to effect that so they can have the public hammer a side they see as a losing side. That is what I see tonight with the Spurs. By putting them as slight underdogs they are making them seem more appealing to the average joe that has not been following the NBA as closely. That is why ‘fading the public’ is a popular strategy. There is a reason they keep building casinos in desert. You want to be on the same side they are and tonight they will surely be on the Timberwolves.