Betting the Steelers Buccaneers Game

This game opened with the Steelers as 3 point road favorites but the public has come in heavy on the Bucs who now find themselves 1.5 point favorites. The Bucs offense is on fire being led by Ryan Fitzpatrick. They have scored on big plays on each of their first two games and upset the Saints and Eagles. The Steelers have mostly disappointed in their first two games tying with the Browns then losing to the Chiefs. The Chiefs offense has looked unstoppable all year so far. The Steelers offense was still able to move the ball very well against the Chiefs and were a missed field goal away from winning their first game. Although the Bucs have been on fire I do not agree with this line move.

Last night we had the Lions playing for their season. I mentioned before how that would be a motivating factor for that game and they came out with the win. The same goes for the Steelers tonight. They are up against a Buccaneers defense who going into week 2 was ranked 31 in overall efficiency, 28th against the pass and 23rd against the run. The Steelers offense looked really good last week against the Chiefs who are the only defense currently ranked worse than the Buccaneers. I see a big game tonight for Antonio Brown and even though he usually plays much worse on the road I think Ben Roethlisberger will have a big game as well. I think we see a better effort from the Steelers defense as well. I think tonight we see the bad side of Ryan Fitzpatrick.

Each of the last two weeks the Buccaneers have used quick starts and big plays to stay ahead and win their games. If they win again tonight they will have to do the same things. Although the Steelers defense did not look great last week, the Chiefs were driving the ball down the field. Most of Tampa Bay’s offense has come from quick strikes. They were behind in time of possession by 9 minutes last week. That is not usually a formula to win but it worked because two of their drives were 1 play TD drives. I see the Steelers getting the win here. Just like last night with the Lions, this game is the Steelers season. They will put it together and come out with the win.

 

The Pick:

Steelers +1.5

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