Week 2 Late Game Picks

Detroit Lions @ San Francisco 49ers -6

The 49ers have help strong as 6 point favorites to the visiting Detroit Lions. The public has had high expectations for the 49ers this year with Jimmy Garoppolo starting at QB. With Jimmy at QB to end the year last year the team caught fire and ended the season on a 5 game win streak. Lost in the win streak was the fact that Garoppolo’s number were just OK. He threw for 7 TDs to 5 INTs and in week 1 this year threw for only 1 TD and 3 INTs bringing the total to 8 of each. The Lions are coming off a game where they were blown out on Monday night. They started the game with an interception return for a TD but still found themselves down at halftime 17-10.  The Lions tied the game at 17 right after halftime but the Jets scored 31 unanswered points after that. Their defense and special teams gave up big plays and the offense couldn’t get anything going with the Jets collecting 5 INTs. One thing I have spoken about though and I will bring up again is no team ever looks as good or as bad as they did the week before, especially in a prime time situation. The public’s perception of Jimmy Garoppolo to go along with the Lions getting blown out on Monday night is the reason why this line is at -6 rather than somewhere around -3 instead. This line is based on the overreaction to a prime time game to go along with reports in the media that Matt Patricia has lost his team. I do not believe any of those reports. Other than at quarterback, the Jets are much more talented than the 49ers are. Their defense is much better and their offense has much more explosive players as well. I think last week was an anomaly for this Lions team and they will continue to improve as the season progresses. I took them to win the NFC North and I still stand by that decision. I see the Lions keeping this one close and maybe winning outright.

 

Oakland Raiders @ Denver Broncos -6

This line started at 5.5 and has now moved to 6 and may keep climbing. The Raiders are another team that fell victim to not looking good in a prime time game and the spread being over-adjusted because of it. The Raiders seem to also have some dysfunction brewing with Jon Gruden making comments about throws Derek Carr decided not to make to the media. They also re-signed  WR Martavis Bryant after cutting him before week 1. The last thing the Raiders want after looking worn out in the fourth quarter is to have to play in Denver on a short week. The Raiders may start the game hot again but they will wear out even quicker this week due to the altitude. The Broncos offense looked pretty efficient last week. Phillip Lindsay and Royce Freeman each had 15 carries for 71 yards. The Broncos running game was able to keep the Seahawks defense off balance which opened them up for big plays through the air with Case Keenum throwing for 329 yards and 3 TDs. Keenum also thre 3 INTS but should do better to protect the ball this week against a Raiders defense that is not very good. I think the Broncos should cover the spread. They are absolutely a lock to win this game outright. I see the score of this game being somewhere in the vicinity of 35-15.

 

The Picks:

Lions +6

Broncos -6

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