The big NFL news from this weekend was that the Oakland Raiders traded Khalil Mack to the Chicago Bears for draft picks. This trade has brought the Raiders win total down to 7.5. The Bears over under sits at 6.5 paying -180 to go over.
Hopefully you had listened to me previously about betting the under for the Raiders. Jon Gruden is already being criticized for his moves which is putting more pressure on him and his team. The Raiders are promoting themselves to be a team trying to win now. Their most recent moves are certainly puzzling. It will be interesting to see how they start the season against the Rams on Monday Night.
It is tough for me to bet either of these win totals as they stand. I may put a little bit on the over and hope for an 8-8 season. If people have forgotten about the recent futility of the Raiders, Jon Gruden has certainly reminded them. This trade comes in the midst of a bunch of moves that have not made the fanbase happy including trading for AJ McCarron and releasing Martavis Bryant amongst others.
The Bears on the other hand now have much higher expectations and the pricing shows some have belief that they will get to 7 wins. I can agree with that statement, but I do not see the value in that selection at that price. The Bears offense is still very unproven and it will be interesting to see how Matt Nagy gets them going. Although their defense is getting Khalil Mack he has been holding out all off-season. He will have to work into getting back into game shape as well as learn a new defensive playbook.
In summation I would stay away from either of these totals as they stand. I already had a wager on the Raiders under 8 wins and I am going to leave it as is. I do not believe this trade effects the winners of either division. These teams could both finish 7-9